6 July 2011: Simon Tay, chairman - Singapore Institute of International Affairs

 

Simon Tay explorers Asia's rebalancing and the implications for future prosperity.


To find out more about Future Prosperity Panel visit http://www.aviva.com/fpp

 

Transcript:

 

We’ve reached this in juncture where, while Europe and America remain important, we’re going to see that Asia ... it’s a kind of rebalancing, a shifting towards the emerging economies in here, in Asia – and for Asians themselves, I think rather than just dealing with the immediate questions of where the next meal’s coming from, we’re starting to think longer-term. 

 

There’s a tremendous amount of savings here in Asia – globally, Asian countries are the ones with surpluses, whereas the West is largely in deficit, both at the public level, but also at the household level. But savings per se will not be enough for Asia’s sustainable prosperity. 

 

What we have to find are ways to unlock the savings, and utilise them. The phenomena also in Asia is they have some very rich people – you’ve some very rich countries – and yet we’re also a region where millions, in fact perhaps over a billion people, live in absolute poverty – under two dollars a day. 

 

And so we’ve got to see that in Asia’s future, there is a way to redress this, to make the development, the growth for the future, be much more inclusive, or we’ll see a rising middle class – and this rising middle class in Asia will provide a much broader stream of demand for goods and services. 

 

At a national level, Asians must cease this compulsory belt-tightening, and without becoming uncompetitive, they must see as their goal to share the prosperity more widely across their own societies, and let people earn a good living wage, which they can then spend and invest.

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